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Zipping Classic

1

HUMIDOR

[-0.08/0.90]

[3-5-22-6-4]

2

VENTURA STORM

[0.43/1.80]

[2-3-8-1-0]

3

GALLIC CHIEFTAIN

[0.50/2.20]

[3-6-15-0-0]

4

PATRICK ERIN

[0.43/1.43]

[7-4-11-6-0]

5

SOUTHERN FRANCE

[0.17/0.96]

[9-2-23-12-0]

6

DAL HARRAILD

[0.53/2.56]

[3-13-14-2-0]

7

MIDTERM

[-0.13/0.63]

[4-1-21-14-0]

8

CHAPADA

[0.14/1.10]

[2-4-11-5-0]

9

SAVVY OAK

[0.00/1.05]

[3-5-27-3-4]

10

MISS SISKA

[0.54/1.80]

[7-4-14-3-0]

The Spring is coming to a close, and we have seen some good results. Overall though I am not sure it is going to go down as a classic Spring, but certainly one where the Japanese horses have proven just how good they are. Anyway, time for the Sandown Guineas and it looks an interesting race.

Past dosages tell us that the winner will come from a fairly small range of dosages. Only Zipping at 2.25 has a DI above 1.50 and it has been a while now since he won his sequence. We saw two winners in Americain and Who Shot Thebarman at 1.46 coincidentally. The others were all between 0.90 and 1.13 which probably indicates that a lot of the winners of this come from a Melbourne Cup campaign. They may not have started in the race, but they were certainly aimed at it. This year I think that Southern France looks to have the ideal profile for the race, and looks the likely winner.  There are a few others in this range but their profiles miss a couple of factors. All of the past ten winners for example have had classic ratings between 16 and 24, while none has had more than 1 point in their professional ratings making Southern France look the ideal type. Of course, the overall balance is the key in most cases, so the others that fit in our winning range are likely to run well and I expect it to be a competitive race.