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I am still a lover of the Classics, and the Derby is always a great spectacle. It is really the first time that the 3yo's get over a meaningful distance, even if it is still early in the season. For this reason we often see ones with talent as opposed to genuine stayers winning the race. In the last few years we have seen Prized Icon and Extra Brut win, and I think it is fair to say that they were not true stayers.

With this in mind, we have seen plenty of staying types win, so we see a range of dosages in recent winners. Basically though they seem to fit into a few ranges. We have seen those runners like Extra Brut and Prized Icon in the 3 to 4 range, and this year it is Token Spirit and Born To Succeed that are closest to these. I would be surprised if either was to win. Our next main range is around 1.40 to 1.50 and this year there are a few in this range and I think that Hit The Shot looks the best of these. We see one winner at 1.10 and a few at 0.80 which bring in a few other chances. 

Overall, Hit The Shot looks the one to me, but Johnny Get Angry and Wisaka are two at long odds that I think will appreciate the distance and could add good value to the multiples.