Menu

dosageprofile.com

The home of thoroughbred dosages in Australia

header photo

Phar Lap Stakes

1

KUBRICK

[1.05/4.07]

[17-6-15-0-0]

2

SPEND

[1.07/6.00]

[15-15-12-0-0]

3

QUICK THINKER

[0.47/2.09]

[4-11-16-3-0]

4

TRUST THE PROCESS

[0.43/1.86]

[9-7-20-0-4]

5

PROBABEEL

[0.48/1.97]

[11-13-13-5-4]

6

FUNSTAR

[0.03/1.06]

[2-7-19-6-2]

7

AKARI

[0.83/2.79]

[13-4-19-0-0]

8

SUBPOENAED

[0.48/1.50]

[11-5-16-8-0]

9

NUDGE

[0.69/2.54]

[18-13-27-2-2]

10

ASPECT RATIO

[0.81/3.47]

[4-5-7-0-0]

This Group 2 race for the 3yo's looks to have attracted a top class field. There are some that may not be household names, but I will be surprised if at least a few of these runners do not go on to bigger things over the next couple of seasons. It is also worth noting that fillies have a pretty good record in the race, with Verry Elleegant winning last year, and of course the wonderful Winx has her name on the honour roll.

Apart from Hattori Hanzo (6.60), the trend over the last five years seems to have been towards winners with lower dosage indices. Last year's winner,Verry Elleegant had a Do of 1.21, while Unforgotten the year before had a DI of 1.70. Before that only Winx (2.09) and Toydini (2.50) had a DI under 3.00. I am going to suggest that I think this trend is likely to continue this year. We see Probabeel and Funstar the two favourites for the race, and both have strong claims. The two fillies fought out the Group 1 Surround at their last start, and either could go on to become the next big thing in Australian racing. I probably lean toward Probabeel over the 1500m of the two, as I think Funstar is the one that should get more ground consistently. With that said I am not convinced that they are ideal for the 1500m of this race, and oddly in spite of the good record of fillies, the dosages of the four colts look as good as any in terms of the race so a real boilover could be on the cards. Before we finish with the fillies though, we must mention Aspect Ratio who is by Declaration of War the sire of Melbourne Cup winner, Vow And Declare and a fairly obvious source of stamina that has yet to be accounted for.

The four colts all have a claim, but I think the NZ bred Quick Thinker could be the knock-out horse. He has good form in NZ and has shown he can match it with the best Sydney colts and looks ideal for the race.