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Grand Prix Stakes

1

DON’T WAIVER

[1.04/3.73]

[12-4-9-1-0]

2

SMART METEOR

[1.00/4.00]

[16-8-16-0-0]

3

SOUTHERN SWING

[0.89/3.80]

[11-11-13-1-0]

4

MOSSHIKI

[0.97/4.54]

[12-11-13-0-0]

5

CHAINS OF HONOUR

[0.55/2.26]

[12-15-32-1-2]

6

MISSION PHOENIX

[0.43/1.76]

[10-5-21-0-4]

7

TEARS OF LOVE

[0.90/7.00]

[3-12-5-0-0]

8

SAVVY VALENTINO

[0.36/1.59]

[10-8-18-4-4]

9

HALEIGHOZAE

[0.83/2.43]

[10-2-10-2-0]

10

PRIVATE DETECTIVE

[0.71/3.00]

[6-10-10-2-0]

11

ALIGNMENT

[0.45/1.71]

[7-9-16-6-0]

12

REAL IT IN

[1.61/17.67]

[20-6-1-1-0]

The Grand Prix dates back to 1971 when won by the remarkable pony sized mare, Mode. It sees horses like Kingston Town, Surround and Balmerino among its winners. But it was a race that was part of the Queensland Winter Carnival when it was supported by the interstate trainers with their best horses. To see it run in December makes it a whole new race, so we could well see a whole new type of horse winning. In fact, I think it is a race that will attract Magic Millions horses going into the January 3yo races.

Who will win? I really have no idea. Past winners, for what they are worth, have a very wide range of dosages in the past decade ranging from 1.45 to 8.33. Savvy Valentino appears the runner this year with the profile closest to the winners with lower DI's although Alignment and Mission Phoenix are also not far away. I don't really think the winner will come from this range this year with none appearing to match past winners profiles all that well. Next we saw Heavenly Thought win with a DI of 2.17 and Chains Of Honour is a real chance in the race with a DI close to this. Next we see winners with dosages of 3.53/3.80 and 4.33. The two best in this range to me are Mosshiki and Southern Swing so a win by either of these would not surprise.

Overall, it is a race that we probably should be watching to see what happens with it over the next couple of years. It is not the race it was, and we might find the race will align more to a MM even than to previous winners of this race. If we need to have a bet, I think the winner is likely to come from Chains of Honour, Mosshiki and Souther Swing, so take your pick.