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The home of thoroughbred dosages in Australia

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Caulfield Cup

1

ANTHONY VAN DYCK (IRE)

[0.37/1.31]

[12-7-21-12-0]

2

AVILIUS (GB)

[0.50/2.07]

[7-9-30-0-0]

3

VOW AND DECLARE

[1.00/5.67]

[6-8-6-0-0]

4

BUCKHURST (IRE)

[0.03/0.94]

[3-3-17-6-1]

5

MIRAGE DANCER (GB)

[0.10/1.07]

[2-6-15-7-0]

6

MUSTAJEER (GB)

[0.38/1.67]

[2-2-12-0-0]

7

VERRY ELLEEGANT

[0.00/1.21]

[1-7-19-1-4]

8

DASHING WILLOUGHBY (GB)

[0.04/0.92]

[2-3-13-6-0]

9

FINCHE (GB)

[0.11/0.96]

[6-7-10-14-0]

10

PRINCE OF ARRAN (GB)

[-0.18/0.57]

[3-0-10-8-1]

11

MASTER OF WINE (GER)

[0.06/0.83]

[5-0-19-8-0]

12

THE CHOSEN ONE (NZ)

[0.37/1.97]

[6-15-19-2-4]

13

WARNING

[0.27/1.40]

[3-8-13-6-0]

14

DALASAN

[-0.21/0.60]

[3-3-6-10-2]

15

TRUE SELF (IRE)

[-0.17/0.60]

[4-1-8-9-2]

16

AKTAU (GB)

[0.14/1.24]

[1-8-13-6-0]

17

TOFFEE TONGUE (NZ)

[-0.18/0.81]

[1-6-20-7-4]

18

CHAPADA

[0.04/0.93]

[2-4-13-7-0]

19e

RAHEEN HOUSE (IRE)

[0.28/1.46]

[3-7-18-4-0]

20e

SAN HUBERTO (IRE)

[0.83/4.33]

[5-10-9-0-0]

21e

OCEANEX (NZ)

[0.34/2.05]

[2-12-15-1-2]

22e

LE DON DE VIE (GB)

[0.78/3.00]

[5-4-9-0-0]

This is a very interesting race, with a few internationals thrown in to make it more complex. There are three runners with dosage profiles that look a little out of place, but we must note that all of these have trivial dosage profiles. We have seen one winner of the CC in recent times with a trivial profile in Jameka [0.88/3.00][9-5-8-2-0], although we did also see Dunaden [0.69/5.40] [0-13-1-2-0] with a high DI and quite an unusual profile that was not reflective of his performances. If we consider his sire to be something of a stamina influence, it would bring his DI back to around 1.40 which would bring him into the chances.

Most recent winners have had a DI between 1.20 and 1.55 and this is where I would be looking for this year's winner. It still leaves a few chances, with Anthony Van Dyke, Verry Elleegant, Warning and Aktau fitting in this range, as well as possiblyVow And Declare. We have seen one winner at 1.90, so if you are keen on Avilius or The Chosen One you can take some confidence from that. All up, I think that the two favourites in Anthony Van Dyke and Verry Elleegant look the most likely, with Warning in particular one that you might like to include in multiples.